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Analyst Sounds Alarm For 50% Crash If Bitcoin Doesn’t Make A New ATH Soon

by n70products
July 25, 2025
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Analyst Sounds Alarm For 50% Crash If Bitcoin Doesn’t Make A New ATH Soon
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Bitcoin (BTC) could also be on the sting of a major market transfer, as a crypto analyst warns that failure to reach an all-time high within the coming weeks might set off a pointy correction. Whereas long-term bullish sentiment stays sturdy, the fast outlook hinges on whether or not BTC can keep an upward momentum and keep away from a damaging setback that might derail or additional stall its present rally. 

Bitcoin Faces 50% Crash Menace

A outstanding crypto analyst, Tony Severino, has issued a stark warning to Bitcoin traders on X social media. He cautions {that a} failure to interrupt a brand new all-time excessive quickly might spark a massive price crash—probably wiping out over 50% of BTC’s present worth. 

In his shared Elliott Wave chart analysis, Severino highlights Bitcoin’s present place inside what seems to be an intermediate Wave 4 Expanded Flat correction. In keeping with the construction, Bitcoin could also be nearing the tip of wave B, which generally precedes a steep drop in wave C. 

Severino’s evaluation attracts parallels between BTC’s present value habits and the 2021-2022 expanded flat correction that outlined Major Wave 4. On the time, Bitcoin peaked in wave B earlier than cascading into wave C, leading to a brutal bear market. 

Bitcoin
Supply: Tony Severino on X

An analogous sample seems to be growing in BTC’s present chart construction. The chart highlights that the latest surge within the cryptocurrency’s value may very well be forming a misleading wave B peak, which can quickly reverse right into a wave C crash focusing on the $60,000 area or decrease. A decline to this degree would signify a 50% drawdown from present ranges, close to $118,000.

Notably, Severino’s warning doesn’t stem from a bearish conviction however slightly from cautious optimism. Whereas he maintains a robust bullish long-term outlook and believes Bitcoin nonetheless has a final Wave 5 rally ahead, the analyst emphasizes the necessity for BTC to interrupt out into a brand new ATH quickly to invalidate the expanded flat situation.

Ought to the market fail to ship this upside transfer, the corrective construction might dominate and considerably delay the subsequent upward impulse leg. A possible crash might additionally severely disrupt the long-anticipated altcoin season, stalling momentum throughout the broader crypto market.

Analyst Units Bitcoin’s Subsequent ATH Goal

Bitcoin has ignited contemporary optimism over the previous week following its newest price surge above $123,000. Regardless of pulling again to its present value above $118,000, a market skilled recognized as ‘The Crypto Professor’ on X predicts that the flagship cryptocurrency is gearing up for a contemporary all-time excessive. 

The Crypto Professor has set Bitcoin’s next ATH target at $129,948, coinciding with the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension degree. With BTC now buying and selling at $118,612, this may signify a stable 9.6% value acquire. Notably, the analyst’s chart exhibits earlier consolidation zones across the $110,000 and $100,000 area, matching the Fibonacci Retracement ranges of 1 and 0.786. These ranges now function potential help zones within the occasion of a retest. 

Bitcoin
BTC buying and selling at $118,413 on the 1D chart | Supply: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured picture from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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