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New highs for Bitcoin in Q4 2024? Historical trends suggest so!

by n70products
August 18, 2024
in Bitcoin
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New highs for Bitcoin in Q4 2024? Historical trends suggest so!
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  • BTC’s value volatility dropped final week because it was in a consolidation section
  • In the meantime, BTC’s change reserve fell too, indicating its rising demand

Bitcoin [BTC] hasn’t showcased a lot volatility over the previous couple of days as its value gave the impression to be hovering round $60k. Within the meantime, BTC’s demand elevated sharply, which might quickly have an effect on its value. 

Therefore, it’s price taking a better have a look at what’s happening. 

Why is Bitcoin consolidating?

CoinMarketCap’s data revealed that BTC’s value dropped by 2% over the previous week – Not a significant decline. Quite the opposite, within the final 24 hours, the crypto’s worth rose by 1%. At press time, BTC was buying and selling at $59,172.68 with a market capitalization of over $1.17 trillion.

The truth that the cryptocurrency’s volatility dropped final week was additional confirmed by the huge dip in its 1-week value volatility chart over the previous couple of days.

Bitcoin's 1-week price volatility droppedBitcoin's 1-week price volatility dropped

Supply: Santiment

Quinten, a well-liked crypto analyst, lately shared a tweet that posited a attainable purpose behind the decline in volatility.

Based on the identical, BTC could also be following a historic development, one which it has showcased after every halving. He argued that since BTC has been in a consolidation section for a couple of weeks now, if historical past repeats itself, we’d see BTC’s value skyrocket in This autumn 2024.

The bull rally would possibly as properly permit the king of cryptos to the touch an all-time excessive on the charts. 

BTC’s demand is on the rise

As Bitcoin consolidated, demand for the cryptocurrency rose too.

AMBCrypto’s evaluation of CryptoQuant’s knowledge revealed that BTC’s change reserves dropped considerably in 2024. What this suggests is that BTC has been beneath a provide squeeze. Each time demand will increase and provide drops, it factors to a value hike within the coming weeks or months.

BTC's exchange reserve declinedBTC's exchange reserve declined

Supply: CryptoQuant

We then took a have a look at Glassnode’s knowledge to confirm the rising demand for BTC. Based on our evaluation, the crypto’s accumulation development rating had a studying of 0.94 at press time.

For starters, this metric is an indicator that displays the relative dimension of entities which might be actively accumulating cash on-chain by way of their BTC holdings. A worth nearer to 1 is an indication of excessive shopping for stress, whereas a worth nearer to 0 means that traders will not be accumulating.

Due to this fact, this metric established the truth that Bitcoin’s demand has been rising, which might lead to a bull rally in This autumn. 

glassnode studio btc accumulation trend scoreglassnode studio btc accumulation trend score

Supply: Glassnode

Lastly, we assessed the cryptocurrency’s each day chart to search out out what to anticipate within the close to time period.

The Bollinger Bands revealed that BTC was about to check its resistance close to the 20-day Easy Shifting Common (SMA). 


Is your portfolio inexperienced? Take a look at the BTC Profit Calculator  


Its Relative Power Index (RSI) registered an uptick too, suggesting that BTC would possibly break above its 20-day SMA. Quite the opposite, the Chaikin Cash Movement (CMF) appeared bearish because it moved south on the charts.

BTCUSD 2024 08 17 12 44 07

Supply: TradingView

Subsequent: Solana’s supply surge – Can the market absorb $340M in unlocks?



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Tags: BitcoinHighsHistoricalsuggesttrends
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