Key Notes
- XRP has shaped an ascending triangle with a goal of $2.40, claims Ali Martinez.
- April 16 and April 21 are two crucial dates for Ripple and XRP.
- XRP has averaged 24.3% beneficial properties in April throughout a number of years however is up just one% this yr.
XRP
XRP
$2.15
24h volatility:
1.4%
Market cap:
$125.07 B
Vol. 24h:
$3.45 B
is at present buying and selling at $2.12, slipping 1% up to now 24 hours. Nevertheless, the altcoin stays one of many prime performers over the previous week, gaining greater than 26% and reclaiming its 20-day EMA at $2.10.
Whereas short-term momentum seems regular, all eyes at the moment are on April 16 and April 21 — two probably historic dates that might outline XRP’s future.
Technical Setup: Eyes on $2.22 and $2.40
In response to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, XRP is forming an ascending triangle on the hourly chart. The resistance degree sits at $2.22, whereas greater lows outline the construction’s base, indicating rising bullish strain.
A decisive breakout above $2.22 might pave the way in which for a rally towards $2.40, a degree that additionally aligns with the higher boundary of the parallel channel seen on the chart.
The Fibonacci retracement ranges on the chart verify this goal zone. After bouncing from the 0.382 degree at $1.85 and reclaiming the 0.618 retracement close to $1.98, XRP has proven technical resilience.
The 1.0 Fibonacci extension at $2.22 acts because the rapid resistance. Past this, the 1.272 degree round $2.41 marks the following bullish goal, lining up completely with Martinez’s outlook.
Notably, a break above $2.22, coupled with rising anticipation forward of April’s pivotal occasions, might set off fast bullish momentum towards $2.40–$2.42.
However, failure to interrupt above $2.22 may see XRP fall again to the mid-channel assist at $2. If sentiment worsens, a dip towards the decrease channel boundary close to $1.85 stays potential.
April 16 and April 21: The Double Catalyst
Crypto influencer John Squire has spotlighted two key dates which will shift the whole XRP narrative.
April 16 and April 21 might develop into the 2 most necessary dates in XRP’s historical past.
And I’m not saying this for hype. I’m saying it due to context, information, and a story that’s been constructing for years.
Let’s begin with April 16:
It’s the deadline for Ripple to submit its…
— John Squire (@TheCryptoSquire) April 13, 2025
April 16
Ripple is because of file its last response within the long-running SEC lawsuit. This case has been the one greatest hurdle to XRP’s progress within the US market.
A good conclusion, or indicators that the authorized battle is nearing an finish, might act as a large unlock for institutional participation and alternate listings.
April 21
Hypothesis is mounting that SWIFT might announce XRP’s integration into its international funds infrastructure.
Ripple has already participated in SWIFT’s DLT interoperability pilots, and a affirmation might push XRP into a brand new league as a mainstream monetary asset.
On-Chain Metrics: A Combined Bag
Regardless of the bullish technical setup and narrative catalysts, on-chain data reveals a extra cautious image:
- Energetic addresses have plummeted from over 600K to simply 28K, signaling declining consumer exercise.
- Community progress has slowed considerably, dropping from 15,000 in January to below 3,000.
- MVRV ratio stands at 2.35, suggesting holders are deep in revenue and may be tempted to promote.
- NVT ratio has gone parabolic at 1,554, hinting at heavy speculative buying and selling somewhat than real community utilization.
These metrics recommend that XRP’s present worth power is extra narrative-driven than essentially backed, growing the chance of a retracement if upcoming occasions fail to ship.
April Developments and Lengthy-Time period Outlook
According to CryptoRank, XRP has averaged 24.3% beneficial properties in April throughout a number of years. Although it’s at present lagging behind this common, historical past exhibits that XRP tends to carry out nicely throughout this month, particularly when bolstered by key developments.
If the bullish catalysts align, XRP might reclaim the $3 mark later within the yr. Nevertheless, the market stays in a fragile state, and with out follow-through from actual community utilization, these lofty targets may keep out of attain.
Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is dedicated to offering unbiased and clear reporting. This text goals to ship correct and well timed data however shouldn’t be taken as monetary or funding recommendation. Since market situations can change quickly, we encourage you to confirm data by yourself and seek the advice of with an expert earlier than making any selections primarily based on this content material.

A crypto journalist with over 5 years of expertise within the trade, Parth has labored with main media retailers within the crypto and finance world, gathering expertise and experience within the area after surviving bear and bull markets over time. Parth can also be an creator of 4 self-published books.