Ethereum has been weighed down by persistent downward momentum, and even a near-term rally might not be sufficient to shift the broader pattern instantly. Because it stands, the ETH worth is now at an essential technical second, with crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino warning of a doable shut under a major long-term indicator.
With simply days remaining within the first quarter of 2025, Severino took to the social media platform X to focus on the implications of Ethereum’s place relative to its 3-month Bollinger Band foundation, which could spell trouble.
Ethereum Faces A Technical Risk On The Quarterly Timeframe Chart
Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has sounded the alarm on Ethereum’s quarterly chart. In a recent post on social media platform X, Severino pointed to the 3-month Bollinger Band foundation, saying Ethereum’s worth is at risk of closing under it. There’s now lower than every week remaining in Q1, and the analyst warned, “There are seven days left to avoid wasting Ethereum from closing under the 3M Bollinger Band foundation. If it loses it, look out under.”
The 3M Bollinger Band is a model of the usual Bollinger Bands indicator utilized to a 3-month (quarterly) chart. On this case, every candlestick on the chart represents three months of worth motion, so it covers ETH’s worth habits from a long-term perspective. Talking of long-term worth motion, the Ethereum / U.S. Greenback 3-month index shared by Severino exhibits that the altcoin has been buying and selling inside these Bollinger bands since July 2022.
As proven within the worth chart under, Ethereum is currently trading close to the decrease Bollinger band, which is simply across the $2,000 worth stage. Apparently, the present candlestick, which solely has a couple of days to shut, is highlighted by a decrease wick protruding under the decrease band. This implies the Ethereum worth has already broken below the Bollinger Band for a short interval this quarter, however solely a detailed under might rapidly seal the deal.
What A Breakdown Beneath The Band Might Imply For ETH’s Worth
If Ethereum does shut under the Bollinger Band, it’ll undoubtedly sign an incoming wave of bearish momentum that may outshine its present lackluster worth motion. The cryptocurrency would possibly lose the $2,000 psychological worth threshold utterly and lose many help ranges up till $1,500 earlier than any robust rebound. Tony Severino famous that there are solely seven days left to save Ethereum from closing under the 3M Bollinger Band and keep away from a bearish potential.
In another post on X, the analyst expanded on the implications of ETH’s present construction. Many traders are hoping for a swift rebound and a return to all-time highs, however he cautioned that such an optimistic run would possibly take a very long time to manifest.
Any bullish pattern within the quick time period won’t be sufficient to reverse the bigger downward pattern that has been growing for the previous 12 months. A significant structural change will require sustained bullish pressure over a number of quarters, not only a short-term bounce. “Suppose by way of quarters, not months, weeks, or days,” he mentioned.
On the time of writing, Ethereum is buying and selling at $2,052.
Featured picture from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
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