Veteran dealer Peter Brandt on Thursday supplied a a lot slower timetable for Bitcoin’s subsequent massive rally, saying the cryptocurrency could not hit $200,000 till across the third quarter 2029.
In response to his publish on X, Brandt stays a long-term supporter of Bitcoin however warned the climb to $200,000 will take time.
After An October Peak, A Steep Drop?
Bitcoin reached a contemporary excessive of $125,100 on October 5. Since then it has slid greater than 25%, erasing roughly $710 billion in market worth.
Based mostly on Coingecko information, the token was buying and selling at $83,500 at one level and briefly dipped to $82,650 as markets moved. Costs have bounced and fallen once more, leaving many merchants uneasy about timing and danger.
Full disclosure people
Of my most ever Bitcoin place I nonetheless personal 40%, at a worth 1/twentieth of Saylor’s avg purchase.
I'm a long-term bull on Bitcoin. This dumping is the perfect factor that would occur to Bitcoin. The subsequent bull market in Bitcoin ought to take us to $200,000 or so. That…— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) November 21, 2025
Brandt referenced previous commodity patterns to make his level. He in contrast Bitcoin’s conduct to the Nineteen Seventies soybean market, which noticed a fast high adopted by a pointy fall when provide outpaced demand. In that episode, soybeans dropped about 50% after the height, Brandt reminded followers.
Technical Alerts Flip Bearish
In the meantime, market analytics agency CryptoQuant has flagged the pullback because the most bearish phase for the reason that present bull run started in January 2023.
Its Bull Rating Index fell to twenty out of 100 final week, a degree that indicators weak spot demand, unfavourable worth momentum, and thinner stablecoin liquidity.
The platform additionally identified that Bitcoin slipped beneath its 365-day transferring common, a technical mark that had held by means of earlier corrections on this cycle.
Nonetheless, CryptoQuant’s CEO Ki Younger Ju not too long ago instructed the market could not have formally entered bear territory, displaying how readings and interpretations can differ.
Institutional Promoting Provides Stress
Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards warned that institutional promoting has been unusually heavy, saying he has “by no means seen this a lot institutional promoting as a share of Coinbase Quantity in all historical past.”
That circulation, based on a number of analysts, has made the current reset deeper than prior pullbacks throughout the identical rally.
Bitcoin has _never_ seen this a lot institutional promoting as a share of Coinbase Quantity in all historical past. pic.twitter.com/YzSzpGQmBN
— Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) November 21, 2025
Veteran Dealer’s Cautious Timeline
Brandt’s outlook stands in distinction with extra optimistic calls from the crypto trade. Reviews have disclosed that BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes and market veteran Tom Lee had been amongst those that reiterated hopes for $200,000 earlier than the yr closed.
Pullback Seen As Wholesome By Some
Regardless of Bitcoin’s present sluggish state, Brandt described the current dumping as helpful. He argued a cleanse now may clear excesses and arrange stronger strikes later.
Different well-known figures have given a lot sooner targets — some anticipated $200,000 by year-end, and some, together with ARK Make investments’s Cathie Wooden and Coinbase chief Brian Armstrong, have forecasted $1 million by 2030.
Different analysts pointed to historic patterns the place painful corrections had been adopted by renewed positive factors, although they added that timing these turns is troublesome.
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
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